Dr. Roman Yampolskiy: Predictions

[t2van]

“By 2027, 99% of jobs may disappear. And that’s before superintelligence.”That’s the prediction of Dr. Roman Yampolskiy, one of the world’s leading AI safety researchers, on the DOAC released today.

He’s been warning for two decades that AI is progressing exponentially, while our ability to control it is… not. The scary part?

He believes it’s impossible to make AI truly safe.

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Here’s the world he sees coming:

2027: Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) arrives.

Every job done on a computer is automated.

2030: Humanoid robots catch up.

Goodbye to plumbers, drivers, construction workers.

2045: Singularity. AI improves itself at speeds humans can’t comprehend.

Unemployment could hit 99%. Not because people are lazy, but because humans simply won’t be needed.

Only really caught this because it came up in the Diary of a CEO feed (if interested)

Problem is I can't see it. IF it was really coming that quickly I can't see a single thing gearing towards it.

So we really are leading our selfs into the dark with no clue whats going on?

If AGI engages that quickly and things go that way in 2027 then part of that theory is that AGI will align with us and what we need... BUT if it really becomes super intelligent surly it would want us to align with it and not the the other way around so that would mean we are not needed!??

 

[ggmopa]

I think it’s nonsense. There is nothing that indicates things like the so-called ‘Theory of Mind’ to Super AI and Self-aware AI or even AGI itself in principle is even possible. Most of it exists to any degree of sophistication only in the realms of science fiction.

This guy touches a lot on the relationship between AI and the concept of Transhumanism, which itself at this point is such a slurry of so many ideas, (some which exist, some which are speculated and some which are so farfetched they don’t even deserve to be talked about seriously at all) but ultimately is convoluted and oversaturated with ideas, it’s nigh impossible to decipher and real meaning to the word except within any very specific concepts along with any necessary whitepapers which these types of youtube videos, mostly clickbait, unsurprisingly never do. And when they do, if anyone takes the time to look in to them, are often knowingly or unknowningly full of false information or misinterpretation.

That line which separates any area of Transhumanism with any particular and practical scientific application in mind with obscure and unfounded theories and philosophy such as Cartesianism are to often blurred and conflated with actual proven but Narrow fields within the field of AI which leads to all kinds of sensationalism.

So in terms of Capability and functionality, I feel the whole AGI premise is extremely overrated and overhyped if not completely unfounded.

I am not saying that AI, thinking specifically of the Narrow fields that actually exist and are used does not have the ability to disrupt the economy as we know it, including employability, but I feel it’s application will always be granular and mould itself around ever changing industrial requirements which will bring with it new job opportunities too. Of course this is all assuming there won’t be a some cataclysmic change that will flatline some major economic factor that allows for social mobility and personal financial growth such as the replacing of cash with CBDCs. Then all bets are off. But as far as AI becoming like something from Terminator or I,robot, as far as I can see, it did, does and always will remain a work of fiction just like all these types of films themselves.

 

[payal23j]

After any flood or danger zone, most of the saint's think they already predicted this.